arXiv2026
This paper argues that, where deterministic and indeterministic formulations agree on empirically corroborated structure while differing in their completion of structure that remains empirically underdetermined, features invariant across these formulations warrant ontological commitment, whereas any warrant attaching to features that vary across them is categorically more provisional. Because deterministic and indeterministic completions are always formally available, while additional grounds for preferring particular completions are contingent and defeasible, empirically corroborated structure alone cannot determine whether reality is fundamentally deterministic or indeterministic, or whether that very distinction belongs only to specific representations of it. On this basis, I advance a model-invariance criterion according to which structural features are candidates for realist commitment insofar as they are empirically corroborated within a regime and preserved across the admissible formulations of that structure. I show how such invariant content can be characterised in mathematically intelligible ways, yielding a fallibilist form of structural realism grounded in model-invariance rather than in the specific form of any given mathematical representation. Features such as conservation relations, invariant measures, symmetries, and probability or correlation structures over observable histories may satisfy this criterion. By contrast, the localisation of modal selection---whether in fine-grained initial conditions, stochastic outcomes, or state-update and collapse mechanisms---may vary across empirically admissible formulations and therefore constitute a gauge-like representational freedom. This framework offers a realist ontology for modern physics that combines empirical openness with resistance to metaphysical overreach.