Divergences Test Statistics for Discretely Observed Diffusion Processes

Abstract

In this paper we propose the use of $ϕ$-divergences as test statistics to verify simple hypotheses about a one-dimensional parametric diffusion process $\de X_t = b(X_t, θ)\de t + σ(X_t, θ)\de W_t$, from discrete observations $\{X_{t_i}, i=0, ..., n\}$ with $t_i = iΔ_n$, $i=0, 1, >..., n$, under the asymptotic scheme $Δ_n\to0$, $nΔ_n\to\infty$ and $nΔ_n^2\to 0$. The class of $ϕ$-divergences is wide and includes several special members like Kullback-Leibler, Rényi, power and $α$-divergences. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics based on $ϕ$-divergences. The limiting law takes different forms depending on the regularity of $ϕ$. These convergence differ from the classical results for independent and identically distributed random variables. Numerical analysis is used to show the small sample properties of the test statistics in terms of estimated level and power of the test.