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arXiv · 0908.3163

Nonparametric estimation of the volatility function in a high-frequency model corrupted by noise

Axel Munk·Johannes Schmidt-Hieber
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Abstract

We consider the models Y_{i,n}=\int_0^{i/n} σ(s)dW_s+τ(i/n)ε_{i,n}, and \tilde Y_{i,n}=σ(i/n)W_{i/n}+τ(i/n)ε_{i,n}, i=1,...,n, where W_t denotes a standard Brownian motion and ε_{i,n} are centered i.i.d. random variables with E(ε_{i,n}^2)=1 and finite fourth moment. Furthermore, σand τare unknown deterministic functions and W_t and (ε_{1,n},...,ε_{n,n}) are assumed to be independent processes. Based on a spectral decomposition of the covariance structures we derive series estimators for σ^2 and τ^2 and investigate their rate of convergence of the MISE in dependence of their smoothness. To this end specific basis functions and their corresponding Sobolev ellipsoids are introduced and we show that our estimators are optimal in minimax sense. Our work is motivated by microstructure noise models. Our major finding is that the microstructure noise ε_{i,n} introduces an additionally degree of ill-posedness of 1/2; irrespectively of the tail behavior of ε_{i,n}. The method is illustrated by a small numerical study.

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Axel Munk, Johannes Schmidt-Hieber. 2010-04-06. Nonparametric estimation of the volatility function in a high-frequency model corrupted by noise. https://arxiv.org/abs/0908.3163

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