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arXiv · 1106.3932

Coincidences and the encounter problem: A formal account

Jean-Louis J. -L. Dessalles
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Abstract

Individuals have an intuitive perception of what makes a good coincidence. Though the sensitivity to coincidences has often been presented as resulting from an erroneous assessment of probability, it appears to be a genuine competence, based on non-trivial computations. The model presented here suggests that coincidences occur when subjects perceive complexity drops. Co-occurring events are, together, simpler than if considered separately. This model leads to a possible redefinition of subjective probability.

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Jean-Louis J. -L. Dessalles. 2011-06-20. Coincidences and the encounter problem: A formal account. https://arxiv.org/abs/1106.3932

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