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arXiv · 1201.4679

Nonlinear problems of complex natural systems: Sun and climate dynamics

A. Bershadskii
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Abstract

Universal role of the nonlinear one-third subharmonic resonance mechanism in generation of the strong fluctuations in such complex natural dynamical systems as global climate and global solar activity is discussed using wavelet regression detrended data. Role of the oceanic Rossby waves in the year-scale global temperature fluctuations and the nonlinear resonance contribution to the El Nino phenomenon have been discussed in detail. The large fluctuations of the reconstructed temperature on the millennial time-scales (Antarctic ice cores data for the past 400,000 years) are also shown to be dominated by the one-third subharmonic resonance, presumably related to Earth precession effect on the energy that the intertropical regions receive from the Sun. Effects of Galactic turbulence on the temperature fluctuations are discussed in this content. It is also shown that the one-third subharmonic resonance can be considered as a background for the 11-years solar cycle, and again the global (solar) rotation and chaotic propagating waves play significant role in this phenomenon. Finally, a multidecadal chaotic coherence between the detrended solar activity and global temperature has been briefly discussed.

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A. Bershadskii. 2012-01-23. Nonlinear problems of complex natural systems: Sun and climate dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2012.0168

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