Searcharxiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 1204.6060

Predicting Fixation Tendencies of the H3N2 Influenza Virus by Free Energy Calculation

Keyao Pan·Michael W. Deem
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

Influenza virus evolves to escape from immune system antibodies that bind to it. We used free energy calculations with Einstein crystals as reference states to calculate the difference of antibody binding free energy ($ΔΔG$) induced by amino acid substitution at each position in epitope B of the H3N2 influenza hemagglutinin, the key target for antibody. A substitution with positive $ΔΔG$ value decreases the antibody binding constant. On average an uncharged to charged amino acid substitution generates the highest $ΔΔG$ values. Also on average, substitutions between small amino acids generate $ΔΔG$ values near to zero. The 21 sites in epitope B have varying expected free energy differences for a random substitution. Historical amino acid substitutions in epitope B for the A/Aichi/2/1968 strain of influenza A show that most fixed and temporarily circulating substitutions generate positive $ΔΔG$ values. We propose that the observed pattern of H3N2 virus evolution is affected by the free energy landscape, the mapping from the free energy landscape to virus fitness landscape, and random genetic drift of the virus. Monte Carlo simulations of virus evolution are presented to support this view.

Explore related subjects

q-bio.BM

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Keyao Pan, Michael W. Deem. 2012-04-26. Predicting Fixation Tendencies of the H3N2 Influenza Virus by Free Energy Calculation. https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.6060

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Sequence-Informed Geometric Evaluation of RNA 3D Structures

Computational RNA structure pipelines generate many candidate conformations for the same sequence. Reliable evaluation therefore requires more than recognising plausible geometry, it requires determining whether that geometry is compatible with the sequence. We introduce SIRGE, a sequence-informed geometric evaluator that conditions structural representations on nucleotide embeddings from a pretrained RNA language model. Early results show that SIRGE outperforms established evaluators in Kendall--$\tau$ alignment, Top-1 selection, and Top-3 ranking. Controlled comparisons further show that sequence conditioning corrects errors made by an otherwise matched geometric model and improves target-level rank structure. These findings provide initial evidence that pretrained sequence representations supply ranking information that complements geometric reasoning.

q-bio.BM↗
arXiv2026

PocketVE: Stable and Property-Guided Structure-Based Drug Design with Variance-Exploding Diffusion

Protein-conditioned 3D molecule generation is a central challenge in structure-based drug design, requiring a balance between pocket compatibility, molecular properties, and physical geometry. We propose \textbf{PocketVE}, a protein-pocket-conditioned variance-exploding (VE) diffusion framework that couples stable coordinate denoising with inference-time property guidance. Specifically, PocketVE combines an EDM-style training and sampling setup for 3D denoising, classifier-free guidance for multi-property steering without external property classifiers, and adaptive protein perturbation as a training-time pocket regularizer. Evaluated on CrossDocked2020 under the GenBench3D protocol, PocketVE improves Valid$_{3\text{D}}$ from 58.6 to 80.6 and reduces strain energy from 457.4 to 127.9 relative to its TAGMol architectural baseline, while retaining competitive docking and molecular-property scores under moderate guidance. A guidance-scale study shows that moderate guidance gives a favorable balance between target-related objectives and geometric quality, whereas stronger guidance can degrade geometry and distributional fidelity. Pocket-permutation and PoseCheck diagnostics further support pocket-specific spatial compatibility with reduced steric conflicts. Overall, the results suggest that geometric stability and inference-time property guidance should be considered as coupled design objectives.

q-bio.BM↗
arXiv2026

Predicting directional flexibility in proteins

Predicting protein dynamics is a long-standing problem in computational structural biology. Often, protein function critically depends on local directed motions, such as hinge movements, catalytic loop rearrangements and domain reorientations, which can be characterized by directional flexibility and correlated structural motions of the protein backbone. While Molecular Dynamics (MD) simulations provide an established but often prohibitively expensive approach, recent deep generative models aim to reduce this cost by directly predicting conformational ensembles, emulating MD. However, due to their large size and the need to generate several states until the derived dynamical properties converge, these models remain expensive. In this work, we propose BackFlip-2: a fast SE(3)-equivariant graph neural network trained to directly predict dynamical descriptors, such as directional backbone flexibility and pairwise dynamic correlations, from an equilibrium structure. In a series of experiments, we show that our model matches the accuracy of substantially larger ensemble generation models while being orders of magnitude faster, and demonstrate that the proposed equivariant architecture is especially well-suited for capturing anisotropic motions in proteins. BackFlip-2 model weights, training and inference code are available at https://github.com/graeter-group/backflip.

q-bio.BM↗