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arXiv · 1205.3337

Probing into the effectiveness of self-isolation policies in epidemic control

Nuno Crokidakis·Silvio M. Duarte Queiros
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Abstract

In this work, we inspect the reliability of controlling and quelling an epidemic disease mimicked by a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model defined on a complex network by means of current and implementable quarantine and isolation policies. Specifically, we consider that each individual in the network is originally linked to two types of individuals: members of the same household and acquaintances. The topology of this network evolves taking into account a probability $q$ that aims at representing the quarantine or isolation process in which the connection with acquaintances is disrupted according to standard policies of control of epidemics. Within current policies of self-isolation and standard infection rates, our results show that the propagation is either only controllable for hypothetical rates of compliance or uncontrollable at all.

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Nuno Crokidakis, Silvio M. Duarte Queiros. 2012-05-15. Probing into the effectiveness of self-isolation policies in epidemic control. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-5468%2F2012%2F06%2Fp06003

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