SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 1303.5519

Reply to Hunter and Brown Discussion of Is there any support in the long term tide gauge data to the claims that parts of Sydney will be swamped by rising sea levels?, Coastal Engineering 2012;64:161-167, Coastal Engineering 2013;75:1-3

Abstract

Hunter and Brown try to demonstrate in their discussion of the long term tide gauge data published in my previous paper that the sea levels are accelerating when they are not. The sea levels are mostly oscillating and certainly not positively accelerating at the present time. As shown in the graphs proposed here after, having an understanding of the oscillatory behaviour of sea levels and by using linear and parabolic fittings but not being selective in the time window to consider, the tide gauge of Sydney exhibits clear multi decadal and inter-annual periodicities but no detectable component of acceleration, similarly to the many others tide gauges of the Pacific or the rest of the world having enough quality and length. If all the long term tide gauges do not exhibit any present accelerating pattern, possibly some simulations and reconstructions may be wrong similarly to the selective assessment of the sea level rise by fitting only the few years of data useful to support the positive acceleration claim.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Alberto Boretti. 2013-03-22. Reply to Hunter and Brown Discussion of Is there any support in the long term tide gauge data to the claims that parts of Sydney will be swamped by rising sea levels?, Coastal Engineering 2012;64:161-167, Coastal Engineering 2013;75:1-3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1303.5519

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Windowed Envelope Statistics for Time-Domain Significant Wave Height Estimation From HF Radar

Significant wave height (SWH) retrieval from high-frequency (HF) radar typically relies on a weak second-order Doppler continuum that is sensitive to noise, interference, and spectral leakage. This letter presents a Windowed Envelope Statistics Estimator (WESE) that operates directly on beam-formed time-domain voltages. A second-order term obtained from a Neumann expansion of the rough-surface field equation motivates quadratic compensation of localized radar features. WESE extracts the mean, standard deviation, or variance from overlapping windows of the in-phase, quadrature, or envelope-magnitude sequence, followed by quadratic compensation, rank ordering, least-squares regression, and causal smoothing. Evaluation used 335 synchronized hourly observations from a 13.385 MHz, 12-element WERA system at Argentia, Newfoundland and Labrador. The optimal configuration used quadrature variance, a 16-sample window, 896 retained chronological samples, and 30-h smoothing, achieving an RMSE of 0.152 m and a Pearson correlation of 0.978. This represents RMSE reductions of 32.1% and 18.7% relative to previously reported linear and second-order compensated ordered-statistics models, respectively. The results demonstrate robust time-domain SWH estimation without explicit Doppler-spectrum construction.

physics.ao-ph

KiloDA: Reconstructing kilometer-scale near-surface wind states from sparse station observations

Accurate kilometer-scale near-surface winds are important for understanding atmospheric processes over complex terrain, yet remain difficult to reconstruct from sparse and unevenly distributed observations. Here we introduce KiloDA, a diffusion framework for hourly kilometer-scale wind reconstruction from surface stations. KiloDA learns the statistical distribution and spatial structure of wind fields from historical 3-km Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model forecasts. At each reconstruction time, no contemporaneous WRF field is used. Instead, station observations provide the only constraints on the current atmospheric state and guide posterior sampling from the learned prior. In idealized WRF experiments, KiloDA recovers localized wind structures when only 0.24% of grid cells are observed and shows an overall advantage over conventional interpolation across terrain conditions and wind speed regimes. This capability largely transfers to real observations. In a fully withheld region, KiloDA reduces the median wind speed root mean square error (RMSE) by 19% relative to ERA5 reanalysis, using only observations outside the region, with the largest improvements over high-elevation and high-relief terrain. A random station holdout further confirms that this advantage extends across different complex-terrain locations and holdout configurations. These results show that historical model archives can provide useful structural knowledge for reconstructing kilometer-scale wind fields from sparse observations without requiring an accurate model estimate of the current atmospheric state.

physics.ao-ph