SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 1303.6584

Simple, asymptotically distribution-free, optimal tests for circular reflective symmetry about a known median direction

Abstract

In this paper, we propose optimal tests for circular reflective symmetry about a fixed median direction. The distributions against which optimality is achieved are the so-called k-sine-skewed distributions of Umbach and Jammalamadaka (2009). We first show that sequences of k-sine-skewed models are locally and asymptotically normal in the vicinity of reflective symmetry. Following the Le Cam methodology, we then construct optimal (in the maximin sense) parametric tests for reflective symmetry, which we render semi-parametric by a studentization argument. These asymptotically distribution-free tests happen to be uniformly optimal (under any reference density) and are moreover of a very simple and intuitive form. They furthermore exhibit nice small sample properties, as we show through a Monte Carlo simulation study. Our new tests also allow us to re-visit the famous red wood ants data set of Jander (1957). We further show that one of the proposed parametric tests can as well serve as a test for uniformity against cardioid alternatives; this test coincides with the famous circular Rayleigh (1919) test for uniformity which is thus proved to be (also) optimal against cardioid alternatives. Moreover, our choice of k-sine-skewed alternatives, which are the circular analogues of the classical linear skew-symmetric distributions, permits us a Fisher singularity analysis \`a la Hallin and Ley (2012) with the result that only the prominent sine-skewed von Mises distribution suffers from these inferential drawbacks. Finally, we conclude the paper by discussing the unspecified location case.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Christophe Ley, Thomas Verdebout. 2013-03-26. Simple, asymptotically distribution-free, optimal tests for circular reflective symmetry about a known median direction. https://arxiv.org/abs/1303.6584

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Surprise Reduction and Nullification in Bayesian and Inverse Bayesian Inference under Ambiguous Prediction-Error Attribution

In non-stationary environments, prediction errors may signal environmental change or transient outliers, and adaptive systems must track such changes without overreacting to outliers. We distinguish surprise reduction, which updates beliefs to fit observations, from surprise nullification, which weakens constraints imposed by the predictive structure, and formalize both within Bayesian and inverse Bayesian (BIB) inference. Belief and likelihood updates are derived from variational objectives sharing a nullification strength, determined endogenously by minimizing surprise under the candidate post-update predictive distribution. In the Gaussian case, nullification expands belief and likelihood variances by a common factor relative to standard Bayesian updating, leaving the ratio unchanged. BIB thus defers attribution of the prediction error, committing to neither latent-state change nor observation-process uncertainty. The nullification strength is carried over as a candidate and is maintained or released according to the predictive surprise of the next observation. In a mean estimation task with outliers and changepoints, no scanned parameter setting of a Sage-Husa-type adaptive Kalman filter, fixed-strength BIB variant, or belief-forgetting-only variant outperforms BIB in both changepoint tracking and post-outlier stability. An oracle-informed reduced Bayesian model tracks changepoints better but is less stable after outliers. Although BIB maintains no explicit hypotheses about changepoints or outliers, it generates event-dependent dynamics. The learning rate increases after changepoints, whereas after outliers, nullification is released, and this increase is suppressed. Deferring attribution and letting subsequent observations differentiate the responses may constitute a principle of adaptive inference in non-stationary environments.

stat.ME

Generalized Ridge Refitting for the Lasso and Prediction Improvement Bounds

We study a class of Lasso based estimators obtained by applying a quadratic correction on the Lasso equicorrelation set. The penalty matrix determines both the magnitude and geometry of the correction and contains, among other cases, the isotropic Lasso--Ridge correction, least squares refitting, Gram proportional interpolation between the Lasso and least squares, and coordinate specific penalties. We first derive a closed form representation and isolate the positive gain component of the resulting prediction improvement. We then control the remaining stochastic linear term in expectation by localizing the random signed equicorrelation model around a deterministic reference support. This yields a finite sample expectation bound that explicitly accounts for the randomness induced by Lasso model selection. The resulting decomposition provides a unified framework for understanding when Lasso based quadratic corrections can improve prediction.

stat.ME

Discretization in covariate-adaptive randomization: gains and losses

Covariate-adaptive randomization(CAR) is widely implemented in clinical trials to balance prognostic covariates across treatment arms. Continuous covariates are often discretized into strata in practice, yet their consequences are not clearly understood. This paper provides a comprehensive study of the impact of discretization on both the CAR design process and the inferential results thereafter. We establish the asymptotic properties of both imbalance measures and treatment effect estimators under discretized and non-discretized settings. Practical recommendations are given on when and how discretization should be employed. We show that discretization in design is generally recommended, as it enhances robustness against model misspecification. However, if the true model is known, the most efficient strategy is to balance covariates according to that model in the design. The theoretical results are corroborated by extensive simulation studies and an empirical application to a diabetes trial dataset. Together, the results clarify the gains and losses of discretization in CAR and pave the way for learning impact of discretization to other designs and beyond.

stat.ME