SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 1303.7152

Anti-concentration and honest, adaptive confidence bands

Abstract

Modern construction of uniform confidence bands for nonparametric densities (and other functions) often relies on the classical Smirnov-Bickel-Rosenblatt (SBR) condition; see, for example, Giné and Nickl [Probab. Theory Related Fields 143 (2009) 569-596]. This condition requires the existence of a limit distribution of an extreme value type for the supremum of a studentized empirical process (equivalently, for the supremum of a Gaussian process with the same covariance function as that of the studentized empirical process). The principal contribution of this paper is to remove the need for this classical condition. We show that a considerably weaker sufficient condition is derived from an anti-concentration property of the supremum of the approximating Gaussian process, and we derive an inequality leading to such a property for separable Gaussian processes. We refer to the new condition as a generalized SBR condition. Our new result shows that the supremum does not concentrate too fast around any value. We then apply this result to derive a Gaussian multiplier bootstrap procedure for constructing honest confidence bands for nonparametric density estimators (this result can be applied in other nonparametric problems as well). An essential advantage of our approach is that it applies generically even in those cases where the limit distribution of the supremum of the studentized empirical process does not exist (or is unknown). This is of particular importance in problems where resolution levels or other tuning parameters have been chosen in a data-driven fashion, which is needed for adaptive constructions of the confidence bands. Finally, of independent interest is our introduction of a new, practical version of Lepski's method, which computes the optimal, nonconservative resolution levels via a Gaussian multiplier bootstrap method.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Victor Chernozhukov, Denis Chetverikov, Kengo Kato. 2014-09-23. Anti-concentration and honest, adaptive confidence bands. https://doi.org/10.1214/14-aos1235

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

A Scale Invariance Property of PCA

The PCA algorithm is sensitive to changes in measurement scale. Measuring one variable of a system in inches rather than centimeters, say, alters both its principal axes and principal eigenvalues. Although this scale dependence is generally complicated, we show here that it nevertheless obeys a strict invariance property: under a continuous scale adjustment, the initial state's $k$-th largest principal component (ordered by eigenvalue) continuously evolves into the final state's $k$-th largest principal component, for each $k$. In this sense, we can say that the modes of PCA are "order-stable" with respect to changes in measurement scale. A special case occurs when scaling along directions that are orthogonal to some modes. Here, apparent eigenvalue crossings can occur. However, we show that we can interpret these apparent crossings as cases where the modes instantaneously swap their orientation, in this way maintaining the required order stability.

math.ST

Small noise asymptotics for linear parabolic SPDEs in two space dimensions with unknown damping factors

We study parametric estimation for second order linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equations in two space dimensions with a small volatility parameter driven by a $Q$-Wiener process with an unknown damping parameter using high frequency spatio-temporal data. We first provide an estimator for the damping parameter of the $Q$-Wiener process utilizing realized quadratic variations based on spatial and temporal increments. We next propose minimum contrast estimators of the diffusive and advective parameters in the SPDE using a contrast function with the proposed estimator of the damping parameter. We then construct a quasi-maximum likelihood estimator of the reaction parameter in the SPDE using the approximate coordinate process derived from the estimators of the diffusive and advective parameters. We also provide simulation results of the proposed estimators.

math.ST

Spike Estimation from Heteroscedastic Noise via Random Splitting

In this paper, we consider a spiked Wigner type matrix with a heteroscedastic and unknown variance profile. It is well known that in the supercritical regime of the BBP transition, strong spikes can create outliers in the spectrum. Unfortunately, in the heteroscedastic case, in general it is not possible to estimate the spike strength from these observed outlier consistently, as the latter is a solution to a Dyson equation with unknown parameters from the variance profile. In this paper, inspired by the work on sparse matrix completion \citep{BordenaveCosteNadakuditi2023}, we introduce an asymmetrized model by randomly splitting the spiked matrix into two parts, which transforms the noisy Wigner type matrix into a non Hermitian random matrix, while preserving the Hermitian spikes at the cost of a dilution. We establish a BBP type transition for the asymmetrized model, from which we can estimate the strength of the spikes precisely, even without knowing the variance profile of the noise part. We then further apply our approach to study the correlation between two correlated spiked models, where the spike/signal parts of the two models are correlated, and the noise parts are independent but may both be heteroscedastic. By applying our asymmetrization approach to the two models separately and also jointly, we are able to obtain a precise estimate of the correlation between the signal parts of the two models.

math.ST