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arXiv · 1305.4795

Alpha-reliable combined mean traffic equilibrium model with stochastic travel times

Wen-Yi Zhang·Wei Guan·Li-Ying Song·Hui-Jun Sun
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Abstract

Based on the reliability budget and percentile travel time (PTT) concept, a new travel time index named combined mean travel time (CMTT) under stochastic traffic network was proposed. CMTT here was defined as the convex combination of the conditional expectations of PTT-below and PTT-excess travel times. The former was designed as a risk-optimistic travel time index, and the latter was a risk-pessimistic one. Hence, CMTT was able to describe various routing risk-attitudes. The central idea of CMTT was comprehensively illustrated and the difference among the existing travel time indices was analysed. The Wardropian combined mean traffic equilibrium (CMTE) model was formulated as a variational inequality and solved via an alternating direction algorithm nesting extra-gradient projection process. Some mathematical properties of CMTT and CMTE model were rigorously proved. In the end, a numerical example was performed to characterize the CMTE network. It is founded that that risk-pessimism is of more benefit to a modest (or low) congestion and risk network, however, it changes to be risk-optimism for a high congestion and risk network.

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Wen-Yi Zhang, Wei Guan, Li-Ying Song, Hui-Jun Sun. 2015-03-09. Alpha-reliable combined mean traffic equilibrium model with stochastic travel times. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11771-013-1906-z

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