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arXiv · 1404.0375

Principal wind turbines for a conditional portfolio approach to wind farms

Vitor V. Lopes·Teresa Scholz·Frank Raischel·Pedro G. Lind
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Abstract

We introduce a measure for estimating the best risk-return relation of power production in wind farms within a given time-lag, conditioned to the velocity field. The velocity field is represented by a scalar that weighs the influence of the velocity at each wind turbine at present and previous time-steps for the present "state" of the wind field. The scalar measure introduced is a linear combination of the few turbines, that most influence the overall power production. This quantity is then used as the condition for computing a conditional expected return and corresponding risk associated to the future total power output.

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Vitor V. Lopes, Teresa Scholz, Frank Raischel, Pedro G. Lind. 2014-04-01. Principal wind turbines for a conditional portfolio approach to wind farms. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/524/1/012183

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