Optimal stopping under model uncertainty: randomized stopping times approach

Denis Belomestny; Volker Kraetschmer

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arXiv · 1405.2240

Optimal stopping under model uncertainty: randomized stopping times approach

Denis Belomestny·Volker Kraetschmer

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Abstract

In this work we consider optimal stopping problems with conditional convex risk measures called optimised certainty equivalents. Without assuming any kind of time-consistency for the underlying family of risk measures, we derive a novel representation for the solution of the optimal stopping problem. In particular, we generalise the additive dual representation of Rogers (2002) to the case of optimal stopping under uncertainty. Finally, we develop several Monte Carlo algorithms and illustrate their power for optimal stopping under Average Value at Risk.

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Denis Belomestny, Volker Kraetschmer. 2014-05-09. Optimal stopping under model uncertainty: randomized stopping times approach. https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.2240

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