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arXiv · 1505.00399

Metareasoning for Planning Under Uncertainty

Christopher H. Lin·Andrey Kolobov·Ece Kamar·Eric Horvitz
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Abstract

The conventional model for online planning under uncertainty assumes that an agent can stop and plan without incurring costs for the time spent planning. However, planning time is not free in most real-world settings. For example, an autonomous drone is subject to nature's forces, like gravity, even while it thinks, and must either pay a price for counteracting these forces to stay in place, or grapple with the state change caused by acquiescing to them. Policy optimization in these settings requires metareasoning---a process that trades off the cost of planning and the potential policy improvement that can be achieved. We formalize and analyze the metareasoning problem for Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Our work subsumes previously studied special cases of metareasoning and shows that in the general case, metareasoning is at most polynomially harder than solving MDPs with any given algorithm that disregards the cost of thinking. For reasons we discuss, optimal general metareasoning turns out to be impractical, motivating approximations. We present approximate metareasoning procedures which rely on special properties of the BRTDP planning algorithm and explore the effectiveness of our methods on a variety of problems.

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Christopher H. Lin, Andrey Kolobov, Ece Kamar, Eric Horvitz. 2015-05-03. Metareasoning for Planning Under Uncertainty. https://arxiv.org/abs/1505.00399

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