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arXiv · 1601.00574

NFL Play Prediction

Brendan Teich·Roman Lutz·Valentin Kassarnig
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Abstract

Based on NFL game data we try to predict the outcome of a play in multiple different ways. An application of this is the following: by plugging in various play options one could determine the best play for a given situation in real time. While the outcome of a play can be described in many ways we had the most promising results with a newly defined measure that we call "progress". We see this work as a first step to include predictive analysis into NFL playcalling.

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Brendan Teich, Roman Lutz, Valentin Kassarnig. 2016-01-04. NFL Play Prediction. https://arxiv.org/abs/1601.00574

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