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arXiv · 1606.02748

A Contextual Model Of The Secessionist Rebellion in Eastern Ukraine

Olga Nicoara·David White
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Abstract

This paper explores the possible contextual factors that drove some individuals to lead, and others to join the pro-secessionist rebellion in the 2013-2014 conflict in Eastern Ukraine. We expand on the existing rational choice literature on revolutionary participation and rebellious movements by building a contextual choice model accounting for both cost-benefit and behavioral considerations taken by Pro-Russian militants and rebels in the region of Donbass. Our model generates predictions about the characteristics of the socio-political-cultural context that are most likely to ignite and sustain hierarchical rebel movements similar to those in Ukraine.

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Olga Nicoara, David White. 2016-06-05. A Contextual Model Of The Secessionist Rebellion in Eastern Ukraine. https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.02748

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