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arXiv · 1610.08795

Using model distances to investigate the simplifying assumption, model selection and truncation levels for vine copulas

Matthias Killiches·Daniel Kraus·Claudia Czado
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Abstract

Vine copulas are a useful statistical tool to describe the dependence structure between several random variables, especially when the number of variables is very large. When modeling data with vine copulas, one often is confronted with a set of candidate models out of which the best one is supposed to be selected. For example, this may arise in the context of non-simplified vine copulas, truncations of vines and other simplifications regarding pair-copula families or the vine structure. With the help of distance measures we develop a parametric bootstrap based testing procedure to decide between copulas from nested model classes. In addition we use distance measures to select among different candidate models. All commonly used distance measures, e.g. the Kullback-Leibler distance, suffer from the curse of dimensionality due to high-dimensional integrals. As a remedy for this problem, Killiches, Kraus and Czado (2017) propose several modifications of the Kullback-Leibler distance. We apply these distance measures to the above mentioned model selection problems and substantiate their usefulness.

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Matthias Killiches, Daniel Kraus, Claudia Czado. 2016-10-27. Using model distances to investigate the simplifying assumption, model selection and truncation levels for vine copulas. https://arxiv.org/abs/1610.08795

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