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arXiv · 1704.05391

Probabilistic $N$-$k$ Failure-Identification for Power Systems

Kaarthik Sundar·Carleton Coffrin·Harsha Nagarajan·Russell Bent
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Abstract

This paper considers a probabilistic generalization of the $N$-$k$ failure-identification problem in power transmission networks, where the probability of failure of each component in the network is known a priori and the goal of the problem is to find a set of $k$ components that maximizes disruption to the system loads weighted by the probability of simultaneous failure of the $k$ components. The resulting problem is formulated as a bilevel mixed-integer nonlinear program. Convex relaxations, linear approximations, and heuristics are developed to obtain feasible solutions that are close to the optimum. A general cutting-plane algorithm is proposed to solve the convex relaxation and linear approximations of the $N$-$k$ problem. Extensive numerical results corroborate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms on small-, medium-, and large-scale test instances, the test instances include the IEEE 14-bus system, the IEEE single-area and three-area RTS96 systems, the IEEE 118-bus system, the WECC 240-bus test system, the 1354-bus PEGASE system, and the 2383-bus Polish winter-peak test system.

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Kaarthik Sundar, Carleton Coffrin, Harsha Nagarajan, Russell Bent. 2017-04-18. Probabilistic $N$-$k$ Failure-Identification for Power Systems. https://doi.org/10.1002/net.21806

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