A Partially Supervised Bayesian Image Classification Model with Applications in Diagnosis of Sentinel Lymph Node Metastases in Breast Cancer

Ying Zhu; Tom Fearn; D. Wayne Chicken; Martin R. Austwick; Santosh K. Somasundaram; Charles A. Mosse; Benjamin Clark; Irving J. Bigio; Mohammed R. S. Keshtgar; Stephen G. Bown

arXiv · 1712.09853

A Partially Supervised Bayesian Image Classification Model with Applications in Diagnosis of Sentinel Lymph Node Metastases in Breast Cancer

Ying Zhu·Tom Fearn·D. Wayne Chicken·Martin R. Austwick·Santosh K. Somasundaram·Charles A. Mosse·Benjamin Clark·Irving J. Bigio·Mohammed R. S. Keshtgar·Stephen G. Bown

View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

A method has been developed for the analysis of images of sentinel lymph nodes generated by a spectral scanning device. The aim is to classify the nodes, excised during surgery for breast cancer, as normal or metastatic. The data from one node constitute spectra at 86 wavelengths for each pixel of a 20*20 grid. For the analysis, the spectra are reduced to scores on two factors, one derived externally from a linear discriminant analysis using spectra taken manually from known normal and metastatic tissue, and one derived from the node under investigation to capture variability orthogonal to the external factor. Then a three-group mixture model (normal, metastatic, non-nodal background) using multivariate t distributions is fitted to the scores, with external data being used to specify informative prior distributions for the parameters of the three distributions. A Markov random field prior imposes smoothness on the image generated by the model. Finally, the node is classified as metastatic if any one pixel in this smoothed image is classified as metastatic. The model parameters were tuned on a training set of nodes, and then the tuned model was tested on a separate validation set of nodes, achieving satisfactory sensitivity and specificity. The aim in developing the analysis was to allow flexibility in the way each node is modelled whilst still using external information. The Bayesian framework employed is ideal for this.

Explore related subjects

stat.AP

Keep this discovery

BibTeX RIS

Ying Zhu, Tom Fearn, D. Wayne Chicken, Martin R. Austwick, Santosh K. Somasundaram, Charles A. Mosse, Benjamin Clark, Irving J. Bigio, Mohammed R. S. Keshtgar, Stephen G. Bown. 2017-12-28. A Partially Supervised Bayesian Image Classification Model with Applications in Diagnosis of Sentinel Lymph Node Metastases in Breast Cancer. https://arxiv.org/abs/1712.09853

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Privacy-Preserving Causal Meta-Mediation Analysis with Survival Outcomes

Privacy and data-governance constraints often prevent pooling individual-level data across studies, limiting the use of conventional approaches for causal media- tion analysis in multicenter settings. We propose a federated causal meta-mediation framework for right-censored time-to-event outcomes that enables collaborative es- timation without sharing individual-level data. Our framework targets natural indirect effects in a prespecified population by combining information on mediator and outcome mechanisms across distributed data sources. A site-by-site identifi- cation strategy further allows heterogeneity across data sources to be character- ized, with a variance decomposition separating outcome-related, mediator-related, and interaction components. We develop federated one-step and targeted maxi- mum likelihood estimators that accommodate data-adaptive and machine-learning methods for nuisance-function estimation. The finite-sample performance of the proposed estimators is evaluated through numerical simulations. To illustrate the practical utility of the framework, we apply it on data from the French National Health Data System to evaluate the role of methotrexate coprescription in explain- ing the effect of TNFi versus IL-12/23 inhibitor therapy on treatment persistence among psoriatic patients.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2026

Geospatial Foundation Models Capture Health-Relevant Dimensions of Place Beyond Conventional Social Risk Indices

Area-based social risk indices summarize residents' socioeconomic conditions but incompletely capture physical features of place that may affect health. We evaluated whether numerical representations of physical place produced by four geospatial foundation model families from 2022 satellite data explained residual variance in tract-level associations between the Area Deprivation Index, Social Deprivation Index, and Social Vulnerability Index with health outcomes. We used LightGBM to predict variables from the American Community Survey and 40 chronic disease and health-behavior outcomes from CDC PLACES across 82,646 census tracts in the contiguous United States, evaluating performance across 10 held-out states. Among survey variables, models were moderately predictive of some variables including housing type (R-squared up to 0.54) but weak for disability, unemployment, and income disparity. For health outcomes, models explained up to 54% of variance left unexplained by social risk indices, with the largest gains for annual checkups, arthritis, and high blood pressure. Mean total variance explained by geospatial foundation models across the 40 health-related outcomes increased from 0.31 in the smallest tract-size decile to 0.39 in the largest. Geospatial foundation models capture health-relevant features of place not represented by conventional social risk indices and may usefully augment them in epidemiological analyses.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2026

A spatiotemporal negative binomial model with dynamic dispersion: An application to Tuberculosis infections

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a critical public health concern in Brazil, characterized by pronounced spatial heterogeneity and fluctuating temporal volatility. In this paper, we study monthly TB notifications across 61 microregions of Sao Paulo state from 2001 to 2024. To do this, we introduce a negative binomial spatial integer-valued generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (INGARCH) model featuring jointly dynamic conditional means and time-varying dispersion. To capture inter-regional spillovers, we incorporate both discrete adjacency structures and a novel continuous distance-based formulation leveraging the Matern correlation function. Parameter estimation via conditional maximum likelihood employs a two-step profile-likelihood iterative scheme, demonstrating solid finite-sample performance in simulation studies. Applied to the Sao Paulo TB surveillance data, the framework substantially outperforms standard Poisson and fixed-dispersion spatiotemporal baselines in empirical fit and uncertainty quantification, maintaining nominal 95% predictive coverage across both dense metropolitan centers and rural microregions. Our results reveal marked spatial heterogeneity in baseline incidence, dynamic overdispersion driven by localized outbreaks, and short-range spatial interaction decay. By accurately modeling spatiotemporal volatility, the proposed methodology provides a robust statistical tool to support public health surveillance, policy-making, and resource allocation.

stat.AP↗