airpred: A Flexible R Package Implementing Methods for Predicting Air Pollution

Abstract

Fine particulate matter (PM$_{2.5}$) is one of the criteria air pollutants regulated by the Environmental Protection Agency in the United States. There is strong evidence that ambient exposure to (PM$_{2.5}$) increases risk of mortality and hospitalization. Large scale epidemiological studies on the health effects of PM$_{2.5}$ provide the necessary evidence base for lowering the safety standards and inform regulatory policy. However, ambient monitors of PM$_{2.5}$ (as well as monitors for other pollutants) are sparsely located across the U.S., and therefore studies based only on the levels of PM$_{2.5}$ measured from the monitors would inevitably exclude large amounts of the population. One approach to resolving this issue has been developing models to predict local PM$_{2.5}$, NO$_2$, and ozone based on satellite, meteorological, and land use data. This process typically relies developing a prediction model that relies on large amounts of input data and is highly computationally intensive to predict levels of air pollution in unmonitored areas. We have developed a flexible R package that allows for environmental health researchers to design and train spatio-temporal models capable of predicting multiple pollutants, including PM$_{2.5}$. We utilize H2O, an open source big data platform, to achieve both performance and scalability when used in conjunction with cloud or cluster computing systems.