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arXiv · 1808.08543

Predicting a solar cycle before its onset using a flux transport dynamo model

Arnab Rai Choudhuri
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Abstract

We begin with a review of the predictions for cycle~24 before its onset. After summarizing the basics of the flux transport dynamo model, we discuss how this model had been used to make a successful prediction of cycle~24, on the assumption that the irregularities of the solar cycle arise due to the fluctuations in the Babcock--Leighton mechanism. We point out that fluctuations in the meridional circulation can be another cause of irregularities in the cycle.

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Arnab Rai Choudhuri. 2018-08-26. Predicting a solar cycle before its onset using a flux transport dynamo model. https://doi.org/10.1017/s1743921317007967

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