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arXiv · 1810.01293

Game-Theoretic Choice of Curing Rates Against Networked SIS Epidemics by Human Decision-Makers

Ashish R. Hota·Shreyas Sundaram
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Abstract

We study networks of human decision-makers who independently decide how to protect themselves against Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemics. Motivated by studies in behavioral economics showing that humans perceive probabilities in a nonlinear fashion, we examine the impacts of such misperceptions on the equilibrium protection strategies. In our setting, nodes choose their curing rates to minimize the infection probability under the degree-based mean-field approximation of the SIS epidemic plus the cost of their selected curing rate. We establish the existence of a degree based equilibrium under both true and nonlinear perceptions of infection probabilities (under suitable assumptions). When the per-unit cost of curing rate is sufficiently high, we show that true expectation minimizers choose the curing rate to be zero at the equilibrium, while curing rate is nonzero under nonlinear probability weighting.

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Ashish R. Hota, Shreyas Sundaram. 2018-10-01. Game-Theoretic Choice of Curing Rates Against Networked SIS Epidemics by Human Decision-Makers. https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.01293

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