Analysis of the problem of intervention control in the economy on the basis of solving the problem of tuning

Abstract

The paper proposes a new stochastic intervention control model conducted in various commodity and stock markets. The essence of the phenomenon of intervention is described in accordance with current economic theory. A review of papers on intervention research has been made. A general construction of the stochastic intervention model was developed as a Markov process with discrete time, controlled at the time it hits the boundary of a given subset of a set of states. Thus, the problem of optimal control of interventions is reduced to a theoretical problem of control by the specified process or the problem of tuning. A general solution of the tuning problem for a model with discrete time is obtained. It is proved that the optimal control in such a problem is deterministic and is determined by the global maximum point of the function of two discrete variables, for which an explicit analytical representation is obtained. It is noted that the solution of the stochastic tuning problem can be used as a basis for solving control problems of various technical systems in which there is a need to maintain some main parameter in a given set of its values.