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arXiv · 1812.11547

Major feedback factors and effects of the cloud cover and the relative humidity on the climate

Jyrki Kauppinen·Pekka Malmi
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Abstract

In this paper we derive a new formula for the global temperature change and major feedback portions in the climate response. In our earlier paper we calculated from the experimental values the sensitivity about ${\rm 0.058~K/(W/m^2)}$. This means the negative feedback which reduced the sensitivity by factor $2.13$. In this paper we explain and derive the major portions in the feedback coefficient using the observed energy budget at the top of the climate and on the surface of the earth. The results also support strongly our earlier results of the low climate sensitivity ($\Delta T_{\rm 2CO_2}\approx 0.24^{\circ}$C). The major portions in the negative feedback coefficient in shortwave insolation are roughly clouds $63\%$, evaporation cooling $28\%$, and water vapour $9\%$. The new sensitivity is ${\rm 0.0605~K/(W/m^2)}$ which is reduced by factor $2.00$. The changes in cloud cover or in the relative humidity explain almost all the global temperature changes. The result is confirmed with experimental observations. On the other hand, the sun and the change in the vegetation are probably controlling most of the changes in cloudiness and humidity.

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Jyrki Kauppinen, Pekka Malmi. 2018-12-30. Major feedback factors and effects of the cloud cover and the relative humidity on the climate. https://arxiv.org/abs/1812.11547

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