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arXiv · 1910.08145

Proposing a Model for Predicting Passenger Origin-Destination in Online Taxi-Hailing Systems

Pouria Golshanrad·Hamid Mahini·Behnam Bahrak
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Abstract

Due to the significance of transportation planning, traffic management, and dispatch optimization, predicting passenger origin-destination has emerged as a crucial requirement for intelligent transportation systems management. In this study, we present a model designed to forecast the origin and destination of travels within a specified time window. To derive meaningful travel flows, we employ K-means clustering in a four-dimensional space with a maximum cluster size constraint for origin and destination zones. Given the large number of clusters, we utilize non-negative matrix factorization to reduce the number of travel clusters. Furthermore, we implement a stacked recurrent neural network model to predict the travel count in each cluster. A comparison of our results with existing models reveals that our proposed model achieves a 5-7\% lower mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) for 1-hour time windows and a 14\% lower MAPE for 30-minute time windows.

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Pouria Golshanrad, Hamid Mahini, Behnam Bahrak. 2019-10-17. Proposing a Model for Predicting Passenger Origin-Destination in Online Taxi-Hailing Systems. https://arxiv.org/abs/1910.08145

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