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arXiv · 1912.10814

Are the results of the groundwater model robust?

Arnald Puy·Emanuele Borgonovo·Samuele Lo Piano·Andrea Saltelli
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Abstract

De Graaf et al. (2019) suggest that groundwater pumping will bring 42--79\% of worldwide watersheds close to environmental exhaustion by 2050. We are skeptical of these figures due to several non-unique assumptions behind the calculation of irrigation water demands and the perfunctory exploration of the model's uncertainty space. Their sensitivity analysis reveals a widespread lack of elementary concepts of design of experiments among modellers, and can not be taken as a proof that their conclusions are robust.

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Arnald Puy, Emanuele Borgonovo, Samuele Lo Piano, Andrea Saltelli. 2019-12-16. Are the results of the groundwater model robust?. https://arxiv.org/abs/1912.10814

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