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arXiv · 2006.03157

Analytical and cellular automaton approach to a generalized SEIR model for infection spread in an open crowded space

Andrea Nava·Alessandro Papa·Marco Rossi·Domenico Giuliano
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Abstract

We formulate a generalized susceptible exposed infectious recovered (SEIR) model on a graph, describing the population dynamics of an open crowded place with an arbitrary topology. As a sample calculation, we discuss three simple cases, both analytically, and numerically, by means of a cellular automata simulation of the individual dynamics in the system. As a result, we provide the infection ratio in the system as a function of controllable parameters, which allows for quantifying how acting on the human behavior may effectively lower the disease spread throughout the system.

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Andrea Nava, Alessandro Papa, Marco Rossi, Domenico Giuliano. 2020-06-04. Analytical and cellular automaton approach to a generalized SEIR model for infection spread in an open crowded space. https://doi.org/10.1103/physrevresearch.2.043379

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