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arXiv · 2011.02169

A geometric analysis of the SIRS epidemiological model on a homogeneous network

Hildeberto Jardón-Kojakhmetov·Christian Kuehn·Andrea Pugliese·Mattia Sensi
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Abstract

We study a fast-slow version of an SIRS epidemiological model on homogeneous graphs, obtained through the application of the moment closure method. We use GSPT to study the model, taking into account that the infection period is much shorter than the average duration of immunity. We show that the dynamics occurs through a sequence of fast and slow flows, that can be described through 2-dimensional maps that, under some assumptions, can be approximated as 1-dimensional maps. Using this method, together with numerical bifurcation tools, we show that the model can give rise to periodic solutions, differently from the corresponding model based on homogeneous mixing.

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Hildeberto Jardón-Kojakhmetov, Christian Kuehn, Andrea Pugliese, Mattia Sensi. 2020-11-04. A geometric analysis of the SIRS epidemiological model on a homogeneous network. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00285-021-01664-5

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