SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2102.07815

Post-Keplerian obliquity variations and the habitability of rocky planets orbiting fast spinning, oblate late M dwarfs

Abstract

A couple of dozen Earth-like planets orbiting M dwarfs have been discovered so far. Some of them have attracted interest because of their potential long-term habitability; such a possibility is currently vigorously debated in the literature. I show that post-Keplerian (pK) orbit precessions may impact the habitability of a fictitious telluric planet orbiting an oblate late-type M dwarf of spectral class M9V with $M_\star=0.08\,M_\odot$ at $a=0.02\,\mathrm{au}$, corresponding to an orbital period $P_\mathrm{b}\simeq 4\,\mathrm{d}$, inducing long-term variations of the planetary obliquity $\varepsilon$ which, under certain circumstances, may not be deemed as negligible from the point of view of life's sustainability. I resume the analytical orbit-averaged equations of the pK precessions, both classical and general relativistic, of the unit vectors $\boldsymbol{\hat{S}},\,\boldsymbol{\hat{h}}$ of both the planet's spin and orbital angular momenta $\boldsymbol S,\,\boldsymbol{L}$ entering $\varepsilon$, and numerically integrate them by producing time series of the pK changes $\Delta\varepsilon(t)$ of the obliquity. For rapidly rotating M dwarfs with rotational periods of the order of $P_\star \simeq 0.1-1\,\mathrm{d}$, the planet's obliquity $\varepsilon$ can undergo classical pK large variations $\Delta\varepsilon(t)$ up to tens of degrees over timescales $\Delta t \simeq 20-200\,\mathrm{kyr}$, depending on the mutual orientations of the star's spin ${\boldsymbol J}_\star$, of $\boldsymbol S$, and of $\boldsymbol L$. Instead, $\Delta\varepsilon(t)$ are $\lesssim 1-1.5^\circ$ for the planet b of the Teegarden's Star. In certain circumstances, the M dwarf's oblateness $J_2^\star$ should be considered as one of the key dynamical features to be taken into account in compiling budgets of the long-term habitability of rocky planets around fast spinning late M dwarfs. (Abridged)

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Lorenzo Iorio. 2021-02-15. Post-Keplerian obliquity variations and the habitability of rocky planets orbiting fast spinning, oblate late M dwarfs. https://arxiv.org/abs/2102.07815

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Electrovacuum Black Hole Uniqueness

We prove the black hole uniqueness conjecture in the axially symmetric, stationary, electrovacuum setting, subject to the refined asymptotic analysis of the associated singular harmonic maps, which includes an analyticity hypothesis at the axes. More precisely, it is shown that any asymptotically flat solution of the Einstein--Maxwell equations in this class, with more than one black hole horizon component is either: Majumdar--Papapetrou, up to a duality rotation, in which case all logarithmic angle defects vanish, or every finite axis rod logarithmic angle defect is strictly negative and hence every interaction force is strictly attractive. The proof extends the singular harmonic map method used for vacuum Kerr uniqueness in [18].

gr-qc

Constraining Modified Mass-to-Horizon Cosmology Through Primordial Inflationary Observables

We investigate slow-roll inflation in a modified cosmological framework inspired by a generalized mass-to-horizon relation (MHR), $M=\gamma {c^2 L^n}/{G}$, where $n$ is a real parameter and $\gamma$ a dimensional constant. Using Padmanabhan's emergence paradigm, we derive the modified Friedmann equations for a flat FRW universe and analyze the dynamics of a canonical scalar field (inflaton) under the slow-roll approximation. We study the resulting inflationary phenomenology for power-law and Starobinsky potentials. For power-law potentials, the MHR modification fails to reconcile these models with current CMB constraints on $r$ and $n_s$. In contrast, Starobinsky inflation exhibits significant sensitivity to deviations from $n=1$. A perturbative analysis ($n=1+\Delta$) yields corrections to inflationary observables. We observe that the scalar power-spectrum normalization, under a fixed-Starobinsky prescription, imposes the stringent constraint $0.960 \lesssim n \lesssim 1.040$ for $N=60$ efolds. This is considerably tighter than spectral-index bounds. Our results establish inflation, particularly Starobinsky-like models, as a sensitive probe of generalized horizon thermodynamics and departures from standard MHR scaling.

gr-qc

Improving the Sensitivity of Gravitational Wave Detection with Weighted Conformal Prediction

In the last decade, kilometre-scale interferometric gravitational-wave detectors have observed hundreds of compact binary mergers, the majority of which are binary black holes. However, the data are noise-dominated, and multiple independent search algorithms (pipelines) are used to enhance sensitivity and improve robustness. Rather than the standard approach of selecting the most significant pipeline output, we combine the outputs from all pipelines using a conformal prediction-based framework to provide statistically rigorous confidence estimates for candidate events. While combining pipelines improves sensitivity and ranking robustness, it requires a principled statistical framework that remains valid as data properties evolve across observing runs. A key challenge is distribution shifts between simulated datasets used for training and calibration and the real, unlabelled, observations used for testing, which can invalidate coverage guarantees and bias confidence estimates. In this work, we address this challenge by incorporating likelihood-ratio reweighting into our conformal prediction framework to account for covariate shift. Using mock datasets containing simulated signals, we demonstrate that weighted conformal prediction restores well-calibrated coverage under covariate shift and increases the confidence of events near the detection threshold, recovering true signals that would otherwise be missed.

gr-qc