SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2107.06089

MinP Score Tests with an Inequality Constrained Parameter Space

Abstract

Score tests have the advantage of requiring estimation alone of the model restricted by the null hypothesis, which often is much simpler than models defined under the alternative hypothesis. This is typically so when the alternative hypothesis involves inequality constraints. However, existing score tests address only jointly testing all parameters of interest; a leading example is testing all ARCH parameters or variances of random coefficients being zero or not. In such testing problems rejection of the null hypothesis does not provide evidence on rejection of specific elements of parameter of interest. This paper proposes a class of one-sided score tests for testing a model parameter that is subject to inequality constraints. Proposed tests are constructed based on the minimum of a set of $p$-values. The minimand includes the $p$-values for testing individual elements of parameter of interest using individual scores. It may be extended to include a $p$-value of existing score tests. We show that our tests perform better than/or perform as good as existing score tests in terms of joint testing, and has furthermore the added benefit of allowing for simultaneously testing individual elements of parameter of interest. The added benefit is appealing in the sense that it can identify a model without estimating it. We illustrate our tests in linear regression models, ARCH and random coefficient models. A detailed simulation study is provided to examine the finite sample performance of the proposed tests and we find that our tests perform well as expected.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Giuseppe Cavaliere, Zeng-Hua Lu, Anders Rahbek, Yuhong Yang. 2021-07-13. MinP Score Tests with an Inequality Constrained Parameter Space. https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.06089

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Identification in Linear Quantile Panel Models

This paper studies identification in linear quantile panel models with unrestricted individual heterogeneity when the number of time periods is fixed and small. We impose strict exogeneity, whereby the conditional quantile restriction holds given the individual's complete regressor history and latent individual effect, but otherwise allow the disturbances to be arbitrarily dependent over time.

econ.EM

Experimental Design for Policy Choice

We show how to optimally design experiments when the resulting data will be used to choose a welfare-maximizing policy subject to constraints. A decision maker seeks to maximize Bayes expected welfare by choosing a policy whose effects depend on an unknown finite-dimensional parameter. The decision maker has access to a first wave of experimental data with a fixed design but may choose the design of a second wave that will be collected before choosing the policy. The resulting experimental design--policy choice problem is a very high-dimensional dynamic program that is generally intractable in finite samples. We propose a tractable approximation based on the limit experiment and show it is asymptotically optimal using a new asymptotic representation theorem for adaptive experiments with continuous treatments. We apply the method to a conditional cash transfer experiment and demonstrate the potential for large gains from tailoring the experiment to the policy choice.

econ.EM

Designing Spatial Treatments

Spatial treatments are interventions assigned to locations potentially distinct from those of the responding units. We study their optimal design under a general model in which a unit's response diminishes with distance to a treated site. Our estimand of interest is an ``uncontaminated'' effect equal to the average impact of a single intervention site over all hypothetical sites. We propose a novel design based on a Mat\'{e}rn point process which separates treatments by a distance of at least $r$. A larger choice of $r$ reduces bias by separating interventions but increases variance by reducing their numerosity. We choose $r$ to maximize the rate of convergence of a Horvitz-Thompson estimator and prove that this is minimax rate-optimal. We provide weak conditions under which the estimator is asymptotically normal and propose a variance estimator.

econ.EM