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arXiv · 2107.14405

Semiparametric Estimation of Long-Term Treatment Effects

Jiafeng Chen·David M. Ritzwoller
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Abstract

Long-term outcomes of experimental evaluations are necessarily observed after long delays. We develop semiparametric methods for combining the short-term outcomes of experiments with observational measurements of short-term and long-term outcomes, in order to estimate long-term treatment effects. We characterize semiparametric efficiency bounds for various instances of this problem. These calculations facilitate the construction of several estimators. We analyze the finite-sample performance of these estimators with a simulation calibrated to data from an evaluation of the long-term effects of a poverty alleviation program.

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Jiafeng Chen, David M. Ritzwoller. 2021-07-30. Semiparametric Estimation of Long-Term Treatment Effects. https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.14405

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