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arXiv · 2110.00771

Non-average price impact in order-driven markets

Claudio Bellani·Damiano Brigo·Mikko Pakkanen·Leandro Sanchez-Betancourt
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Abstract

We present a measurement of price impact in order-driven markets that does not require averages across executions or scenarios. Given the order book data associated with one single execution of a sell metaorder, we measure its contribution to price decrease during the trade. We do so by modelling the limit order book using state-dependent Hawkes processes, and by defining the price impact profile of the execution as a function of the compensator of a stochastic process in our model. We apply our measurement to a data set from NASDAQ, and we conclude that the clustering of sell child orders has a bigger impact on price than their sizes.

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Claudio Bellani, Damiano Brigo, Mikko Pakkanen, Leandro Sanchez-Betancourt. 2021-10-02. Non-average price impact in order-driven markets. https://arxiv.org/abs/2110.00771

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