SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2202.06334

Detection and parameter estimation challenges of Type-II lensed binary black hole signals

Abstract

Strong lensing of {gravitational-wave signals} can produce three types of images, denoted as Type-I, Type-II and Type-III, corresponding to the minima, saddle and maxima of the lensing potential of the lensed images. Type-II images, in particular, receive a non-trivial phase shift of $\pi/2$. This phase shift can introduce additional distortions in the strains produced by the Type-II image of the binary black hole signals depending on the morphology of the signals, e.g., when they have contributions from higher harmonics, precession, eccentricity, etc. {The probability of observing Type-II images is nearly the same as that of strong lensing itself, and thus these signals are likely to be observed in the near future.} In this work, we investigate the potential applicability of these distortions in helping identify Type-II signals from a single detection and the systematic biases that could arise in the inference of parameters if they are recovered with gravitational-wave templates that do not take the distortion into account. We show that the lensing distortions will allow us to confidently identify the Type-II images for highly inclined binaries: at network signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) $\rho=20(50)$, individual Type-II images should be identifiable with ln Bayes factor $\ln \mathcal{B} > 2$ for inclinations $ \iota > 5 \pi/12 (\pi/3) $. Furthermore, based on the trends we observe in these results, we predict that, at high SNRs ($\gtrsim 100$), individual Type-II images would be identifiable even when the inclination angle is much lower ($\sim \pi/6$). We then show that neglecting physical effects arising from these identifiable Type-II images can significantly bias the estimates of source parameters. Thus, in the future, using templates that take into account the lensing deformation would be necessary to extract source parameters from Type-II lensed signals.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Aditya Vijaykumar, Ajit Kumar Mehta, Apratim Ganguly. 2022-02-13. Detection and parameter estimation challenges of Type-II lensed binary black hole signals. https://doi.org/10.1103/physrevd.108.043036

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Electrovacuum Black Hole Uniqueness

We prove the black hole uniqueness conjecture in the axially symmetric, stationary, electrovacuum setting, subject to the refined asymptotic analysis of the associated singular harmonic maps, which includes an analyticity hypothesis at the axes. More precisely, it is shown that any asymptotically flat solution of the Einstein--Maxwell equations in this class, with more than one black hole horizon component is either: Majumdar--Papapetrou, up to a duality rotation, in which case all logarithmic angle defects vanish, or every finite axis rod logarithmic angle defect is strictly negative and hence every interaction force is strictly attractive. The proof extends the singular harmonic map method used for vacuum Kerr uniqueness in [18].

gr-qc

Constraining Modified Mass-to-Horizon Cosmology Through Primordial Inflationary Observables

We investigate slow-roll inflation in a modified cosmological framework inspired by a generalized mass-to-horizon relation (MHR), $M=\gamma {c^2 L^n}/{G}$, where $n$ is a real parameter and $\gamma$ a dimensional constant. Using Padmanabhan's emergence paradigm, we derive the modified Friedmann equations for a flat FRW universe and analyze the dynamics of a canonical scalar field (inflaton) under the slow-roll approximation. We study the resulting inflationary phenomenology for power-law and Starobinsky potentials. For power-law potentials, the MHR modification fails to reconcile these models with current CMB constraints on $r$ and $n_s$. In contrast, Starobinsky inflation exhibits significant sensitivity to deviations from $n=1$. A perturbative analysis ($n=1+\Delta$) yields corrections to inflationary observables. We observe that the scalar power-spectrum normalization, under a fixed-Starobinsky prescription, imposes the stringent constraint $0.960 \lesssim n \lesssim 1.040$ for $N=60$ efolds. This is considerably tighter than spectral-index bounds. Our results establish inflation, particularly Starobinsky-like models, as a sensitive probe of generalized horizon thermodynamics and departures from standard MHR scaling.

gr-qc

Improving the Sensitivity of Gravitational Wave Detection with Weighted Conformal Prediction

In the last decade, kilometre-scale interferometric gravitational-wave detectors have observed hundreds of compact binary mergers, the majority of which are binary black holes. However, the data are noise-dominated, and multiple independent search algorithms (pipelines) are used to enhance sensitivity and improve robustness. Rather than the standard approach of selecting the most significant pipeline output, we combine the outputs from all pipelines using a conformal prediction-based framework to provide statistically rigorous confidence estimates for candidate events. While combining pipelines improves sensitivity and ranking robustness, it requires a principled statistical framework that remains valid as data properties evolve across observing runs. A key challenge is distribution shifts between simulated datasets used for training and calibration and the real, unlabelled, observations used for testing, which can invalidate coverage guarantees and bias confidence estimates. In this work, we address this challenge by incorporating likelihood-ratio reweighting into our conformal prediction framework to account for covariate shift. Using mock datasets containing simulated signals, we demonstrate that weighted conformal prediction restores well-calibrated coverage under covariate shift and increases the confidence of events near the detection threshold, recovering true signals that would otherwise be missed.

gr-qc