Flexible risk design using bi-directional dispersion

Matthew J. Holland

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arXiv · 2203.14434

Flexible risk design using bi-directional dispersion

Matthew J. Holland

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Abstract

Many novel notions of "risk" (e.g., CVaR, tilted risk, DRO risk) have been proposed and studied, but these risks are all at least as sensitive as the mean to loss tails on the upside, and tend to ignore deviations on the downside. We study a complementary new risk class that penalizes loss deviations in a bi-directional manner, while having more flexibility in terms of tail sensitivity than is offered by mean-variance. This class lets us derive high-probability learning guarantees without explicit gradient clipping, and empirical tests using both simulated and real data illustrate a high degree of control over key properties of the test loss distribution incurred by gradient-based learners.

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Matthew J. Holland. 2022-03-28. Flexible risk design using bi-directional dispersion. https://arxiv.org/abs/2203.14434

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