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arXiv · 2204.06943

Option Pricing with Time-Varying Volatility Risk Aversion

Peter Reinhard Hansen·Chen Tong
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Abstract

We introduce a pricing kernel with time-varying volatility risk aversion to explain observed time variations in the shape of the pricing kernel. When combined with the Heston-Nandi GARCH model, this framework yields a tractable option pricing model in which the variance risk ratio (VRR) emerges as a key variable. We show that the VRR is closely linked to economic fundamentals, as well as sentiment and uncertainty measures. A novel approximation method provides analytical option pricing formulas, and we demonstrate substantial reductions in pricing errors through an empirical application to the S&P 500 index, the CBOE VIX, and option prices.

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Peter Reinhard Hansen, Chen Tong. 2022-04-14. Option Pricing with Time-Varying Volatility Risk Aversion. https://arxiv.org/abs/2204.06943

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