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arXiv · 2207.13483

Early estimates on monkeypox incubation period, generation time and reproduction number in Italy, May-June 2022

Giorgio Guzzetta·Alessia Mammone·Federica Ferraro·Anna Caraglia·Alessia Rapiti·Valentina Marziano·Piero Poletti·Danilo Cereda·Francesco Vairo·Giovanna Mattei·Francesco Maraglino·Giovanni Rezza·Stefano Merler
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Abstract

We analyzed the first 255 PCR-confirmed cases of monkeypox occurred in Italy in 2022. Preliminary estimates indicate: mean incubation period of 9.1 days (95%CI of the mean: 6.5-10.9); mean generation time of 12.5 days (95%CI of the mean: 7.5-17.3); reproduction number in the MSM community of 2.43 (95%CI: 1.82-3.26).

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Giorgio Guzzetta, Alessia Mammone, Federica Ferraro, Anna Caraglia, Alessia Rapiti, Valentina Marziano, Piero Poletti, Danilo Cereda, Francesco Vairo, Giovanna Mattei, Francesco Maraglino, Giovanni Rezza, Stefano Merler. 2022-07-27. Early estimates on monkeypox incubation period, generation time and reproduction number in Italy, May-June 2022. https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.13483

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