Post-hoc Interpretability based Parameter Selection for Data Oriented Nuclear Reactor Accident Diagnosis System

Abstract

During applying data-oriented diagnosis systems to distinguishing the type of and evaluating the severity of nuclear power plant initial events, it is of vital importance to decide which parameters to be used as the system input. However, although several diagnosis systems have already achieved acceptable performance in diagnosis precision and speed, hardly have the researchers discussed the method of monitoring point choosing and its layout. For this reason, redundant measuring data are used to train the diagnostic model, leading to high uncertainty of the classification, extra training time consumption, and higher probability of overfitting while training. In this study, a method of choosing thermal hydraulics parameters of a nuclear power plant is proposed, using the theory of post-hoc interpretability theory in deep learning. At the start, a novel Time-sequential Residual Convolutional Neural Network (TRES-CNN) diagnosis model is introduced to identify the position and hydrodynamic diameter of breaks in LOCA, using 38 parameters manually chosen on HPR1000 empirically. Afterwards, post-hoc interpretability methods are applied to evaluate the attributions of diagnosis model's outputs, deciding which 15 parameters to be more decisive in diagnosing LOCA details. The results show that the TRES-CNN based diagnostic model successfully predicts the position and size of breaks in LOCA via selected 15 parameters of HPR1000, with 25% of time consumption while training the model compared the process using total 38 parameters. In addition, the relative diagnostic accuracy error is within 1.5 percent compared with the model using parameters chosen empirically, which can be regarded as the same amount of diagnostic reliability.