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arXiv · 2302.05568

Ruin probabilities as recurrence sequences in a discrete-time risk process

David J. Santana·Luis Rincón
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Abstract

We apply the theory of linear recurrence sequences to find an expression for the ultimate ruin probability in a discrete-time risk process. We assume the claims follow an arbitrary distribution with support $\{0,1,\ldots,m\}$, for some integer $m\ge2$. The method requires to find the zeroes of an $m$ degree polynomial and to solve a system of $m$ linear equations. An approximation is derived from the exact ruin formula and several numerical results and plots are provided as examples.

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David J. Santana, Luis Rincón. 2023-02-11. Ruin probabilities as recurrence sequences in a discrete-time risk process. https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.05568

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