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arXiv · 2309.07743

Lost options commitment: how short-term policies affect long-term scope of action

Marina Martinez Montero·Nuria Brede·Victor Couplet·Michel Crucifix·Nicola Botta·Claudia Wieners
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Abstract

We propose to explore the sustainability of climate policies based on a novel commitment metric. This metric allows to quantify how future generations' scope of action is affected by short-term climate policy. In an example application, we show that following a moderate emission scenario like SSP2-4.5 could commit future generations to heavily rely on carbon dioxide removal or/and solar radiation modification to avoid unmanageable sea level rise.

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Marina Martinez Montero, Nuria Brede, Victor Couplet, Michel Crucifix, Nicola Botta, Claudia Wieners. 2023-09-14. Lost options commitment: how short-term policies affect long-term scope of action. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfclm%2Fkgae004

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