SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2309.17404

Relevance of Precession for Tests of the Black Hole No Hair Theorems

Abstract

The multipole moments of black holes in general relativity obey certain consistency relations known as the no-hair theorems. The details of this multipolar structure are imprinted into the gravitational waves emitted by binary black holes, particularly if the binary is precessing. If black holes do not obey the vacuum field equations of general relativity, then the no-hair theorems may be broken, and the observed gravitational waves will be modified, thus providing an important test of the no-hair theorems. Recently, analytic solutions to the precession dynamics and inspiral waveforms were computed within the context of binaries possessing non-axisymmetric mass quadrupole moments, which are parametrized by a modulus $q_{m}$ and phase $a_{m}$ with $m = 1,2$ the azimuthal spherical harmonic number. Here, we use a Fisher analysis to study plausible constraints one may obtain on generic, non-axisymmetry quadrupole configurations using current and future ground-based detectors. For non-precessing binaries, we generically find that no meaningful constraints can be placed with current detectors on the non-axisymmetry parameters $(q_{m}, a_{m})$ due to the presence of strong degeneracies with other waveform parameters, while with next generation detectors, only weak constraints are possible. For precessing configurations, the exact value of the uncertainty is strongly dependent on the sky location, system orientation relative to the line of sight, and initial inclination angle of the orbital angular momentum. After averaging over these parameters, we find that with GWTC-3-like events, one should be able to plausibly constraint non-axisymmetric mass quadrupole deviations to $\Delta q_{m} \sim 10^{-2}$ for LIGO at design sensitivity, and $\Delta q_{m} \sim 10^{-4}$ for the same sources with Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Nicholas Loutrel, Richard Brito, Andrea Maselli, Paolo Pani. 2023-09-29. Relevance of Precession for Tests of the Black Hole No Hair Theorems. https://doi.org/10.1103/physrevd.110.044003

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Electrovacuum Black Hole Uniqueness

We prove the black hole uniqueness conjecture in the axially symmetric, stationary, electrovacuum setting, subject to the refined asymptotic analysis of the associated singular harmonic maps, which includes an analyticity hypothesis at the axes. More precisely, it is shown that any asymptotically flat solution of the Einstein--Maxwell equations in this class, with more than one black hole horizon component is either: Majumdar--Papapetrou, up to a duality rotation, in which case all logarithmic angle defects vanish, or every finite axis rod logarithmic angle defect is strictly negative and hence every interaction force is strictly attractive. The proof extends the singular harmonic map method used for vacuum Kerr uniqueness in [18].

gr-qc

Constraining Modified Mass-to-Horizon Cosmology Through Primordial Inflationary Observables

We investigate slow-roll inflation in a modified cosmological framework inspired by a generalized mass-to-horizon relation (MHR), $M=\gamma {c^2 L^n}/{G}$, where $n$ is a real parameter and $\gamma$ a dimensional constant. Using Padmanabhan's emergence paradigm, we derive the modified Friedmann equations for a flat FRW universe and analyze the dynamics of a canonical scalar field (inflaton) under the slow-roll approximation. We study the resulting inflationary phenomenology for power-law and Starobinsky potentials. For power-law potentials, the MHR modification fails to reconcile these models with current CMB constraints on $r$ and $n_s$. In contrast, Starobinsky inflation exhibits significant sensitivity to deviations from $n=1$. A perturbative analysis ($n=1+\Delta$) yields corrections to inflationary observables. We observe that the scalar power-spectrum normalization, under a fixed-Starobinsky prescription, imposes the stringent constraint $0.960 \lesssim n \lesssim 1.040$ for $N=60$ efolds. This is considerably tighter than spectral-index bounds. Our results establish inflation, particularly Starobinsky-like models, as a sensitive probe of generalized horizon thermodynamics and departures from standard MHR scaling.

gr-qc

Improving the Sensitivity of Gravitational Wave Detection with Weighted Conformal Prediction

In the last decade, kilometre-scale interferometric gravitational-wave detectors have observed hundreds of compact binary mergers, the majority of which are binary black holes. However, the data are noise-dominated, and multiple independent search algorithms (pipelines) are used to enhance sensitivity and improve robustness. Rather than the standard approach of selecting the most significant pipeline output, we combine the outputs from all pipelines using a conformal prediction-based framework to provide statistically rigorous confidence estimates for candidate events. While combining pipelines improves sensitivity and ranking robustness, it requires a principled statistical framework that remains valid as data properties evolve across observing runs. A key challenge is distribution shifts between simulated datasets used for training and calibration and the real, unlabelled, observations used for testing, which can invalidate coverage guarantees and bias confidence estimates. In this work, we address this challenge by incorporating likelihood-ratio reweighting into our conformal prediction framework to account for covariate shift. Using mock datasets containing simulated signals, we demonstrate that weighted conformal prediction restores well-calibrated coverage under covariate shift and increases the confidence of events near the detection threshold, recovering true signals that would otherwise be missed.

gr-qc