Management strategies for hydropower plants a simple dynamic programming approach

Marcus Olofsson; André Berg Niklas L. P. Lundström

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arXiv · 2310.04462

Management strategies for hydropower plants a simple dynamic programming approach

Marcus Olofsson·André Berg Niklas L. P. Lundström

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Abstract

We use a dynamic programming approach to construct management strategies for a hydropower plant with a dam and a continuously adjustable unit. Along the way, we estimate unknown variables via simple models using historical data and forecasts. Our suggested scheme achieves on average 97.1 % of the theoretical maximum using small computational effort. We also apply our scheme to a Run-of-River hydropower plant and compare the strategies and results to the much more involved PDE-based optimal switching method studied earlier by the authors in (Optimization and Engineering (2021): 1-25); this comparison shows that our simple approach may be preferable if the underlying data is sufficiently rich.

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Marcus Olofsson, André Berg Niklas L. P. Lundström. 2023-10-05. Management strategies for hydropower plants a simple dynamic programming approach. https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.04462

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