The Sleeping Beauty Problem -- A Real-World Solution

Hutan Ashrafian

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arXiv · 2312.07544

The Sleeping Beauty Problem -- A Real-World Solution

Hutan Ashrafian

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Abstract

The Sleeping Beauty Problem remains a paradoxical problem that penetrates multiple disciplines that include probability theory, self-locating belief, decision theory, cognitive science, the philosophy of mathematics and science. It asks the credence of Sleeping Beauty on a coin toss being Heads in the experiment that incites two main stances, that of the Halfers and Thirders. Here a real-world empirical approach numerically highlights breakdown between these groups and considers the role of how a real-world application of such an experiment with sleep induction by anesthesia and pharmacological amnesia induction would affect the coin credence probability of Sleeping Beauty.

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Hutan Ashrafian. 2023-12-05. The Sleeping Beauty Problem -- A Real-World Solution. https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.07544

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