SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2402.08630

Constraints on prospective deviations from the cold dark matter model using a Gaussian Process

Abstract

Recently, using Bayesian Machine Learning, a deviation from the cold dark matter model on cosmological scales has been put forward. Such model might replace a proposed non-gravitational interaction between dark energy and dark matter, and help solve the $H_{0}$ tension problem. The idea behind the learning procedure relied there on a generated expansion rate, while the real expansion rate was just used to validate the learned results. In the present work, however, the emphasis is put on a Gaussian Process (GP) with the available $H(z)$ data confirming the possible existence of the already learned deviation. Three cosmological scenarios are considered: a simple one, with equation of state parameter for dark matter $\omega_{dm} = \omega_{0} \neq 0$, and two other models, with corresponding parameters $\omega_{dm} = \omega_{0} + \omega_{1} z$ and $\omega_{dm} = \omega_{0} + \omega_{1} z/(1+z)$. The constraints obtained on the free parameters $\omega_{0}$ and $\omega_{1}$ hint towards a dynamical nature of the deviation. The dark energy dynamics is also reconstructed, revealing interesting aspects connected with the $H_{0}$ tension problem. It is concluded, however, that improved tools and more data are needed, in order to reach a better understanding of the reported deviation.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Martiros Khurshudyan, Emilio Elizalde. 2024-01-19. Constraints on prospective deviations from the cold dark matter model using a Gaussian Process. https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.08630

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Electrovacuum Black Hole Uniqueness

We prove the black hole uniqueness conjecture in the axially symmetric, stationary, electrovacuum setting, subject to the refined asymptotic analysis of the associated singular harmonic maps, which includes an analyticity hypothesis at the axes. More precisely, it is shown that any asymptotically flat solution of the Einstein--Maxwell equations in this class, with more than one black hole horizon component is either: Majumdar--Papapetrou, up to a duality rotation, in which case all logarithmic angle defects vanish, or every finite axis rod logarithmic angle defect is strictly negative and hence every interaction force is strictly attractive. The proof extends the singular harmonic map method used for vacuum Kerr uniqueness in [18].

gr-qc

Constraining Modified Mass-to-Horizon Cosmology Through Primordial Inflationary Observables

We investigate slow-roll inflation in a modified cosmological framework inspired by a generalized mass-to-horizon relation (MHR), $M=\gamma {c^2 L^n}/{G}$, where $n$ is a real parameter and $\gamma$ a dimensional constant. Using Padmanabhan's emergence paradigm, we derive the modified Friedmann equations for a flat FRW universe and analyze the dynamics of a canonical scalar field (inflaton) under the slow-roll approximation. We study the resulting inflationary phenomenology for power-law and Starobinsky potentials. For power-law potentials, the MHR modification fails to reconcile these models with current CMB constraints on $r$ and $n_s$. In contrast, Starobinsky inflation exhibits significant sensitivity to deviations from $n=1$. A perturbative analysis ($n=1+\Delta$) yields corrections to inflationary observables. We observe that the scalar power-spectrum normalization, under a fixed-Starobinsky prescription, imposes the stringent constraint $0.960 \lesssim n \lesssim 1.040$ for $N=60$ efolds. This is considerably tighter than spectral-index bounds. Our results establish inflation, particularly Starobinsky-like models, as a sensitive probe of generalized horizon thermodynamics and departures from standard MHR scaling.

gr-qc

Improving the Sensitivity of Gravitational Wave Detection with Weighted Conformal Prediction

In the last decade, kilometre-scale interferometric gravitational-wave detectors have observed hundreds of compact binary mergers, the majority of which are binary black holes. However, the data are noise-dominated, and multiple independent search algorithms (pipelines) are used to enhance sensitivity and improve robustness. Rather than the standard approach of selecting the most significant pipeline output, we combine the outputs from all pipelines using a conformal prediction-based framework to provide statistically rigorous confidence estimates for candidate events. While combining pipelines improves sensitivity and ranking robustness, it requires a principled statistical framework that remains valid as data properties evolve across observing runs. A key challenge is distribution shifts between simulated datasets used for training and calibration and the real, unlabelled, observations used for testing, which can invalidate coverage guarantees and bias confidence estimates. In this work, we address this challenge by incorporating likelihood-ratio reweighting into our conformal prediction framework to account for covariate shift. Using mock datasets containing simulated signals, we demonstrate that weighted conformal prediction restores well-calibrated coverage under covariate shift and increases the confidence of events near the detection threshold, recovering true signals that would otherwise be missed.

gr-qc