Sensitivity analysis for publication bias in meta-analysis of sparse data based on exact likelihood

Taojun Hu; Yi Zhou; Satoshi Hattori

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arXiv · 2404.06837

Sensitivity analysis for publication bias in meta-analysis of sparse data based on exact likelihood

Taojun Hu·Yi Zhou·Satoshi Hattori

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Abstract

Meta-analysis is a powerful tool to synthesize findings from multiple studies. The normal-normal random-effects model is widely used to account for between-study heterogeneity. However, meta-analysis of sparse data, which may arise when the event rate is low for binary or count outcomes, poses a challenge to the normal-normal random-effects model in the accuracy and stability in inference since the normal approximation in the within-study model may not be good. To reduce bias arising from data sparsity, the generalized linear mixed model can be used by replacing the approximate normal within-study model with an exact model. Publication bias is one of the most serious threats in meta-analysis. Several quantitative sensitivity analysis methods for evaluating the potential impacts of selective publication are available for the normal-normal random-effects model. We propose a sensitivity analysis method by extending the likelihood-based sensitivity analysis with the t-statistic selection function of Copas to several generalized linear mixed-effects models. Through applications of our proposed method to several real-world meta-analysis and simulation studies, the proposed method was proven to outperform the likelihood-based sensitivity analysis based on the normal-normal model. The proposed method would give useful guidance to address publication bias in meta-analysis of sparse data.

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Taojun Hu, Yi Zhou, Satoshi Hattori. 2024-04-10. Sensitivity analysis for publication bias in meta-analysis of sparse data based on exact likelihood. https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.06837

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