Backward Map for Filter Stability Analysis

Abstract

In this paper, a backward map is introduced for the purposes of analysis of the nonlinear (stochastic) filter stability. The backward map is important because the filter-stability in the sense of $\chisq$-divergence follows from showing a certain variance decay property for the backward map. To show this property requires additional assumptions on the model properties of the hidden Markov model (HMM). The analysis in this paper is based on introducing a Poincar\'e Inequality (PI) for HMMs with white noise observations. In finite state-space settings, PI is related to both the ergodicity of the Markov process as well as the observability of the HMM. It is shown that the Poincar\'e constant is positive if and only if the HMM is detectable.