SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2406.15550

Finding cosmic anisotropy with networks of next-generation gravitational-wave detectors

Abstract

The standard cosmological model involves the assumption of isotropy and homogeneity, a principle that is generally well-motivated but is now in conflict with various anisotropies found using independent astrophysical probes. These anisotropies tend to take the form of dipoles; while some can be explained by simple kinematic effects, many others are not fully understood. Thus, generic phenomenological models are being considered, such as a dipole in the luminosity distance. We demonstrate how such a dipole could be measured using gravitational waves from binary neutron star mergers observed by six different networks of gravitational-wave detectors, ranging from upgraded LIGO detectors to anticipated next-generation ground-based observatories. We find that, for example, a network of three next-generation detectors would produce strong constraints on a dipole's amplitude ($\sim 13\%$) and location ($\sim 84$ deg$^2$) after just one year of observing. We demonstrate that the constraints scale with the number of detections, enabling projections for multiple years of observing. Our findings indicate that future observations of binary neutron star mergers would improve upon existing dipole constraints, provided that at least one next-generation detector is built. We also assess directional sensitivity of the dipole measurements by varying the dipole's location on a grid across the sky. We find that for a network of three next-generation detectors, the range of the constraints is only $\lesssim 1.2\%$ for the amplitude and $\lesssim 4\%$ for the location, indicating that the location of the dipole will not greatly impact our ability to measure its effects.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Bryce Cousins, Arnab Dhani, Bangalore S. Sathyaprakash, Nicolás Yunes. 2024-06-21. Finding cosmic anisotropy with networks of next-generation gravitational-wave detectors. https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.15550

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Electrovacuum Black Hole Uniqueness

We prove the black hole uniqueness conjecture in the axially symmetric, stationary, electrovacuum setting, subject to the refined asymptotic analysis of the associated singular harmonic maps, which includes an analyticity hypothesis at the axes. More precisely, it is shown that any asymptotically flat solution of the Einstein--Maxwell equations in this class, with more than one black hole horizon component is either: Majumdar--Papapetrou, up to a duality rotation, in which case all logarithmic angle defects vanish, or every finite axis rod logarithmic angle defect is strictly negative and hence every interaction force is strictly attractive. The proof extends the singular harmonic map method used for vacuum Kerr uniqueness in [18].

gr-qc

Constraining Modified Mass-to-Horizon Cosmology Through Primordial Inflationary Observables

We investigate slow-roll inflation in a modified cosmological framework inspired by a generalized mass-to-horizon relation (MHR), $M=\gamma {c^2 L^n}/{G}$, where $n$ is a real parameter and $\gamma$ a dimensional constant. Using Padmanabhan's emergence paradigm, we derive the modified Friedmann equations for a flat FRW universe and analyze the dynamics of a canonical scalar field (inflaton) under the slow-roll approximation. We study the resulting inflationary phenomenology for power-law and Starobinsky potentials. For power-law potentials, the MHR modification fails to reconcile these models with current CMB constraints on $r$ and $n_s$. In contrast, Starobinsky inflation exhibits significant sensitivity to deviations from $n=1$. A perturbative analysis ($n=1+\Delta$) yields corrections to inflationary observables. We observe that the scalar power-spectrum normalization, under a fixed-Starobinsky prescription, imposes the stringent constraint $0.960 \lesssim n \lesssim 1.040$ for $N=60$ efolds. This is considerably tighter than spectral-index bounds. Our results establish inflation, particularly Starobinsky-like models, as a sensitive probe of generalized horizon thermodynamics and departures from standard MHR scaling.

gr-qc

Improving the Sensitivity of Gravitational Wave Detection with Weighted Conformal Prediction

In the last decade, kilometre-scale interferometric gravitational-wave detectors have observed hundreds of compact binary mergers, the majority of which are binary black holes. However, the data are noise-dominated, and multiple independent search algorithms (pipelines) are used to enhance sensitivity and improve robustness. Rather than the standard approach of selecting the most significant pipeline output, we combine the outputs from all pipelines using a conformal prediction-based framework to provide statistically rigorous confidence estimates for candidate events. While combining pipelines improves sensitivity and ranking robustness, it requires a principled statistical framework that remains valid as data properties evolve across observing runs. A key challenge is distribution shifts between simulated datasets used for training and calibration and the real, unlabelled, observations used for testing, which can invalidate coverage guarantees and bias confidence estimates. In this work, we address this challenge by incorporating likelihood-ratio reweighting into our conformal prediction framework to account for covariate shift. Using mock datasets containing simulated signals, we demonstrate that weighted conformal prediction restores well-calibrated coverage under covariate shift and increases the confidence of events near the detection threshold, recovering true signals that would otherwise be missed.

gr-qc