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arXiv · 2410.00921

PREPARE: PREdicting PAndemic's REcurring Waves Amidst Mutations, Vaccination, and Lockdowns

Narges M. Shahtori·S. Farokh Atashzar
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Abstract

This study releases an adaptable framework that can provide insights to policymakers to predict the complex recurring waves of the pandemic in the medium postemergence of the virus spread, a phase marked by rapidly changing factors like virus mutations, lockdowns, and vaccinations, offering a way to forecast infection trends and stay ahead of future outbreaks even amidst uncertainty. The proposed model is validated on data from COVID-19 spread in Germany.

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Narges M. Shahtori, S. Farokh Atashzar. 2024-09-30. PREPARE: PREdicting PAndemic's REcurring Waves Amidst Mutations, Vaccination, and Lockdowns. https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.00921

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