Searcharxiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2411.02264

Black hole spectroscopy with nonlinear quasi-normal modes

Macarena Lagos·Tomás Andrade·Jordi Rafecas-Ventosa·Lam Hui
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

The future detection of quasi-normal modes (QNMs) from black hole ringdown will allow for consistency and independent tests of general relativity (GR) in the strong-field regime. In this paper, we perform a ringdown Fisher forecast when including the dominant quadratic QNM (QQNM) expected in nearly equal-mass quasi-circular binary black holes (BBHs) observed by next-generation ground-based detectors, Einstein Telescope (ET) and Cosmic Explorer (CE). We consider a ringdown model with a total of four modes: three linear QNMs labeled by $(\ell m n)=(220), (330), (440)$ and one QQNM coming from the self-interaction of the dominant linear (220) QNM. We perform a forecast in two scenarios, when the QQNM parameters are considered to be: (a) independent of the linear QNMs; (b) dependent on the (220) QNM parameters, according to GR. In Scenario (a) we find the QQNM to generally be measured with better precision than the (440) mode but worse than the (330) mode. As shown in the past, high-spin BBHs tend to have higher relative QQNMs. Even in such cases, we only expect to confidently detect and resolve these four independent QNMs for nearby events, below redshift $z\sim 0.5$ in ET and CE for intermediate-mass BHs. In Scenario (b) we find the QQNM to be extremely useful for improving the precision on the (440) parameters, with negligible improvements on the (220) parameters. In this case, the (440) parameters are expected to be measured even better than those of the (330) QNM. As a result, we expect to confidently detect and resolve the three independent linear QNMs for events even at high redshifts, up to $z\sim 35$ in ET and CE for intermediate-mass BHs. Therefore, thanks to the inclusion of the QQNM, virtually all second-generation BBH events will provide excellent consistency tests of GR.

Explore related subjects

gr-qc

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Macarena Lagos, Tomás Andrade, Jordi Rafecas-Ventosa, Lam Hui. 2024-11-04. Black hole spectroscopy with nonlinear quasi-normal modes. https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.02264

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Electrovacuum Black Hole Uniqueness

We prove the black hole uniqueness conjecture in the axially symmetric, stationary, electrovacuum setting, subject to the refined asymptotic analysis of the associated singular harmonic maps, which includes an analyticity hypothesis at the axes. More precisely, it is shown that any asymptotically flat solution of the Einstein--Maxwell equations in this class, with more than one black hole horizon component is either: Majumdar--Papapetrou, up to a duality rotation, in which case all logarithmic angle defects vanish, or every finite axis rod logarithmic angle defect is strictly negative and hence every interaction force is strictly attractive. The proof extends the singular harmonic map method used for vacuum Kerr uniqueness in [18].

gr-qc↗
arXiv2026

Constraining Modified Mass-to-Horizon Cosmology Through Primordial Inflationary Observables

We investigate slow-roll inflation in a modified cosmological framework inspired by a generalized mass-to-horizon relation (MHR), $M=\gamma {c^2 L^n}/{G}$, where $n$ is a real parameter and $\gamma$ a dimensional constant. Using Padmanabhan's emergence paradigm, we derive the modified Friedmann equations for a flat FRW universe and analyze the dynamics of a canonical scalar field (inflaton) under the slow-roll approximation. We study the resulting inflationary phenomenology for power-law and Starobinsky potentials. For power-law potentials, the MHR modification fails to reconcile these models with current CMB constraints on $r$ and $n_s$. In contrast, Starobinsky inflation exhibits significant sensitivity to deviations from $n=1$. A perturbative analysis ($n=1+\Delta$) yields corrections to inflationary observables. We observe that the scalar power-spectrum normalization, under a fixed-Starobinsky prescription, imposes the stringent constraint $0.960 \lesssim n \lesssim 1.040$ for $N=60$ efolds. This is considerably tighter than spectral-index bounds. Our results establish inflation, particularly Starobinsky-like models, as a sensitive probe of generalized horizon thermodynamics and departures from standard MHR scaling.

gr-qc↗
arXiv2026

Improving the Sensitivity of Gravitational Wave Detection with Weighted Conformal Prediction

In the last decade, kilometre-scale interferometric gravitational-wave detectors have observed hundreds of compact binary mergers, the majority of which are binary black holes. However, the data are noise-dominated, and multiple independent search algorithms (pipelines) are used to enhance sensitivity and improve robustness. Rather than the standard approach of selecting the most significant pipeline output, we combine the outputs from all pipelines using a conformal prediction-based framework to provide statistically rigorous confidence estimates for candidate events. While combining pipelines improves sensitivity and ranking robustness, it requires a principled statistical framework that remains valid as data properties evolve across observing runs. A key challenge is distribution shifts between simulated datasets used for training and calibration and the real, unlabelled, observations used for testing, which can invalidate coverage guarantees and bias confidence estimates. In this work, we address this challenge by incorporating likelihood-ratio reweighting into our conformal prediction framework to account for covariate shift. Using mock datasets containing simulated signals, we demonstrate that weighted conformal prediction restores well-calibrated coverage under covariate shift and increases the confidence of events near the detection threshold, recovering true signals that would otherwise be missed.

gr-qc↗