Using time series to identify strongly-lensed gravitational waves with deep learning

Arthur Offermans; Tjonnie G. F. Li

Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2411.12453

Using time series to identify strongly-lensed gravitational waves with deep learning

Arthur Offermans·Tjonnie G. F. Li

View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

The presence of a massive body between the Earth and a gravitational-wave source will produce the so-called gravitational lensing effect. In the case of strong lensing, it leads to the observation of multiple deformed copies of the initial wave. Machine-learning (ML) models have been proposed for identifying these copies much faster than optimal Bayesian methods, as will be needed with the detection rate of next-generation detector. Most of these ML models are based on a time-frequency representation of the data that discards the phase information. We introduce a neural network that directly uses the time series data to retain the phase, limit the pre-processing time and keep a one-dimensional input. We show that our model is more efficient than the base model used on time-frequency maps at any False Alarm Rate (FPR), up to $\sim 5$ times more for an FPR of $10^{-4}$. We also show that it is not significantly impacted by the choice of waveform model, by lensing-induced phase shifts and by reasonable errors on the merger time that induce a misalignment of the waves in the input.

Explore related subjects

gr-qc astro-ph.HE

Keep this discovery

BibTeX RIS

Arthur Offermans, Tjonnie G. F. Li. 2024-11-19. Using time series to identify strongly-lensed gravitational waves with deep learning. https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.12453

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Electrovacuum Black Hole Uniqueness

We prove the black hole uniqueness conjecture in the axially symmetric, stationary, electrovacuum setting, subject to the refined asymptotic analysis of the associated singular harmonic maps, which includes an analyticity hypothesis at the axes. More precisely, it is shown that any asymptotically flat solution of the Einstein--Maxwell equations in this class, with more than one black hole horizon component is either: Majumdar--Papapetrou, up to a duality rotation, in which case all logarithmic angle defects vanish, or every finite axis rod logarithmic angle defect is strictly negative and hence every interaction force is strictly attractive. The proof extends the singular harmonic map method used for vacuum Kerr uniqueness in [18].

gr-qc↗

arXiv2026

Constraining Modified Mass-to-Horizon Cosmology Through Primordial Inflationary Observables

We investigate slow-roll inflation in a modified cosmological framework inspired by a generalized mass-to-horizon relation (MHR), $M=\gamma {c^2 L^n}/{G}$, where $n$ is a real parameter and $\gamma$ a dimensional constant. Using Padmanabhan's emergence paradigm, we derive the modified Friedmann equations for a flat FRW universe and analyze the dynamics of a canonical scalar field (inflaton) under the slow-roll approximation. We study the resulting inflationary phenomenology for power-law and Starobinsky potentials. For power-law potentials, the MHR modification fails to reconcile these models with current CMB constraints on $r$ and $n_s$. In contrast, Starobinsky inflation exhibits significant sensitivity to deviations from $n=1$. A perturbative analysis ($n=1+\Delta$) yields corrections to inflationary observables. We observe that the scalar power-spectrum normalization, under a fixed-Starobinsky prescription, imposes the stringent constraint $0.960 \lesssim n \lesssim 1.040$ for $N=60$ efolds. This is considerably tighter than spectral-index bounds. Our results establish inflation, particularly Starobinsky-like models, as a sensitive probe of generalized horizon thermodynamics and departures from standard MHR scaling.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2026

Improving the Sensitivity of Gravitational Wave Detection with Weighted Conformal Prediction

In the last decade, kilometre-scale interferometric gravitational-wave detectors have observed hundreds of compact binary mergers, the majority of which are binary black holes. However, the data are noise-dominated, and multiple independent search algorithms (pipelines) are used to enhance sensitivity and improve robustness. Rather than the standard approach of selecting the most significant pipeline output, we combine the outputs from all pipelines using a conformal prediction-based framework to provide statistically rigorous confidence estimates for candidate events. While combining pipelines improves sensitivity and ranking robustness, it requires a principled statistical framework that remains valid as data properties evolve across observing runs. A key challenge is distribution shifts between simulated datasets used for training and calibration and the real, unlabelled, observations used for testing, which can invalidate coverage guarantees and bias confidence estimates. In this work, we address this challenge by incorporating likelihood-ratio reweighting into our conformal prediction framework to account for covariate shift. Using mock datasets containing simulated signals, we demonstrate that weighted conformal prediction restores well-calibrated coverage under covariate shift and increases the confidence of events near the detection threshold, recovering true signals that would otherwise be missed.

gr-qc↗