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arXiv · 2501.17245

Some limit theorems for locally stationary Hawkes processes

Abstract

We prove a law of large numbers and functional central limit theorem for a class of multivariate Hawkes processes with time-dependent reproduction rate. We address the difficulties induced by the use of non-convolutive Volterra processes by recombining classical martingale methods introduced in Bacry et al. [3] with novel ideas proposed by Kwan et al. [19]. The asymptotic theory we obtain yields useful applications in financial statistics. As an illustration, we derive closed-form expressions for price distortions under liquidity constraints.

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Thomas Deschatre, Pierre Gruet, Antoine Lotz. 2025-01-28. Some limit theorems for locally stationary Hawkes processes. https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.17245

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